Mets 26-man roster prediction 4.0 for 2021 season

The Mets are deeper than they've been in years, making their roster decisions more difficult

3/26/2021, 1:02 PM
Joey Lucchesi, Dominic Smith, and Dellin Betances / USA TODAY Sports/SNY Treated Image
Joey Lucchesi, Dominic Smith, and Dellin Betances / USA TODAY Sports/SNY Treated Image

The Mets are as deep as they've been in years, making decisions regarding the final spots on the 26-man roster more difficult.

The toughest choices could come in the bullpen, where the Mets have more than a dozen legitimate options for what will likely be eight spots.

There are also final decisions to make when it comes to the bench and the starting rotation.

Here's how we see things shaking out for Opening Day...

REGULAR LINEUP

James McCann, C
Pete Alonso, 1B
Jeff McNeil, 2B
Francisco Lindor, SS
J.D. Davis, 3B
Dominic Smith, LF
Brandon Nimmo, CF
Michael Conforto, RF

Luis Rojas suggested on Wednesday that J.D. Davis would likely get the most time at third base when the season starts, but he also mentioned that Luis Guillorme would play nearly every day.

Parsing Rojas' words and taking into account the Mets' defensive issues at third base (if Davis is there), and in left field (Dominic Smith) and center field (Brandon Nimmo), it seems like the Mets are planning to have Guillorme and others come in for defense late in games on a regular basis.

STARTING ROTATION

Jacob deGrom, RHP
Marcus Stroman, RHP
David Peterson, LHP
Taijuan Walker, RHP
Joey Lucchesi, LHP

Ever since Carlos Carrasco suffered his hamstring injury, we've predicted that Joey Lucchesi would be the No. 5 starter.

And with the Mets sending Jordan Yamamoto to Triple-A on Wednesday, Lucchesi being in the rotation has been all but confirmed.

The expectation is that Carrasco will be back before Memorial Day, which could coincide with the return of Noah Syndergaard from Tommy John surgery.

It should be noted that Peterson is No. 3 in the rotation above simply to break up the two left-handers.

Sep 2, 2020; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; New York Mets pitcher Miguel Castro (50) delivers in the eighth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. / Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 2, 2020; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; New York Mets pitcher Miguel Castro (50) delivers in the eighth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. / Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

BULLPEN

Edwin Diaz, CLS
Trevor May, RHP
Aaron Loup, LHP
Miguel Castro, RHP
Jeurys Familia, RHP
Jacob Barnes, RHP
Dellin Betances, RHP
Stephen Tarpley
, LHP

The top five relievers listed above are locks, and Jacob Barnes (who is out of options) has looked tremendous lately, likely cementing his spot.

That leaves two spots left (assuming the Mets carry eight relievers and five bench players, which is likely). One of those spots would've probably gone to Drew Smith, but he's dealing with a shoulder issue. And while Smith might be ready to return soon, he is not going to be ready in time for Opening Day.

Dellin Betances' spot isn't guaranteed. But despite his not showing enough life on his pitches to be relied on (which is alarming and makes his spot in the bullpen long-term possibly untenable), it will still be a surprise if he is left off the roster. 

On Wednesday, Rojas talked about Betances, suggesting that he would make the team but noting that the Mets were keeping all options open. Translation? Betances will make it, but his leash will be short.

And if Betances is on the team, that leaves one spot, with Robert Gsellman, Stephen Tarpley, and Jerry Blevins among those fighting for it.

BENCH

Luis Guillorme, 3B/SS/2B
Kevin Pillar, OF
Albert Almora Jr., OF
Tomas Nido, C
Jonathan Villar, INF/OF

The Mets don't have anything to decide here. 

Their depth has been apparent since Day 1 of spring training, and the five players above have been locks to make the team ever since Jose Martinez suffered his long-term injury early in camp.

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