And the Giants have struggled even against teams that don't blitz. They've struggled even when teams rush only three players. So don't expect a ton of offense for the Giants -- as if anyone sane would.
But the good news is the Dolphins aren't likely to light up the scoreboard, either. Yes, it's true: Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has looked outstanding the last two weeks -- completing a ridiculous 84.3 percent of his passes (54 of 64) for 503 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. But a little perspective is needed because he did it against a fading Carolina Panthers team that has lost seven of nine games and the Jets, who have the worst defense in the league.
The Giants are a better defense, though how much better remains to be seen. They looked terrific against the Eagles in creating four turnovers, but were bullied on Philly's one touchdown drive. And in the two weeks before that they gave up over 400 yards to both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Las Vegas Raiders. So they're improved, but they're certainly vulnerable to the right kind of attack.
Is that the Dolphins? They're not much of a rushing team -- 31st in the NFL -- so they won't duplicate what the Eagles did on their nine-run (10-play), 66-yard touchdown drive last Sunday. That means the game will be in Tagovailoa's hands. So the question will be: Is he the quarterback he proved to be against the Panthers and Jets, and earlier this season against the Atlanta Falcons and Jacksonville Jaguars? Or is he the one who has struggled against the better teams he's faced?
A secondary question is: Can Patrick Graham do what he's been best at this season -- taking away a team's game-breakers? Because if the Giants defense can take receiver Jaylen Waddle and tight end Mike Gesicki out of the equation, Tagovailoa and the Dolphins might be in trouble.
Maybe the Giants' defense can do that, but barring a shutout it's hard to see how they keep the score low enough for a Glennon-led offense to succeed. They might have had a shot with Jones, especially if he was able to get out of the pocket and run away from trouble. But with Glennon, that chance seems to have disappeared.
Pick: Take the Dolphins -4
Prediction: Dolphins 16, Giants 9
My record straight up: 6-5
My record against the spread: 4-6-1