Mets vs. Marlins: 5 things to watch and series predictions | April 7-9

Kodai Senga gets the ball in Monday's series-opener at Citi Field

4/7/2025, 1:00 PM
0 seconds of 2 minutes, 55 secondsVolume 0%
Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcuts
00:00
02:55
02:55
 

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Marlins play a three-game series at Citi Field beginning on Monday at 7:10 p.m. on SNY.


Preview

The second base situation

During spring training, Brett Baty was an absolute beast at the plate. That provided some hope that -- although you need to add a shovel-full of salt to any spring training performances -- that Baty could've possibly turned a corner.

And as Baty excelled at the dish in Grapefruit League play while also learning second base on the fly (and looking very good there), it allowed you to dream on the type of impact he could possibly have if he translated his offensive success to the regular season.

It seems it may have been fool's gold, though.

The sample size of Baty in the regular season this year is small, but he has just two hits in 21 at-bats and has struck out eight times.

More concerning than Baty's stats is how he looks at the plate. He's routinely behind in the count, is hammering the ball into the ground, has been swinging and missing at a high clip, and just generally looks uncomfortable.

With Jeff McNeil making serious progress toward a return, it's fair to wonder if Luisangel Acuña will get the bulk of the starts at second base in the interim.

Can Clay Holmes put it all together?

Holmes has hit some speed bumps over his first two starts as he makes his transition from reliever to starter, but he looked a lot better than his line during his last outing.

In 4.2 innings against the Marlins in Miami, Holmes allowed two runs (one earned) on six hits while walking two and striking out six.

If not for poor defense behind him in the third inning, it was easy to see a scenario where Holmes fired 6.0 scoreless frames.

Either way, his second start was a step in the right direction after his first, and Holmes will look to keep stacking more accomplishments as he gets used to his new role.

Juan Soto has been a quiet force

Soto hasn't homered since the second game of the season against the Astros in Houston. And he's been relatively quiet. But his impact has still been huge.

Apr 4, 2025; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets right fielder Juan Soto (22) follows through on an RBI double against the Toronto Blue Jays during the sixth inning at Citi Field. / Brad Penner-Imagn Images
Apr 4, 2025; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets right fielder Juan Soto (22) follows through on an RBI double against the Toronto Blue Jays during the sixth inning at Citi Field. / Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Despite not fully breaking out yet, Soto has reached base safely in all nine games this season, has hits in four straight games, and has scored six runs over his last four contests.

Soto's OPS during his "down" early-season stretch is .822.

And there are signs that he's about to break out -- Soto ripped a double and drew a walk during Sunday's win over the Blue Jays.

The Marlins have been decent

Miami is widely expected to finish the season at the bottom of the NL East, but they've been solid so far.

The Marlins enter this series with a 5-4 record and a run differential of -9.

Second baseman Otto Lopez has had a strong season, with two homers and a .774 OPS, and first baseman Matt Mervis cracked two home runs during Saturday's shutout win over the Braves.

Outfielder Kyle Stowers is also shining early, reaching base safely in seven of the eight games he's played.

No Sandy Alcantara this time

Alcantara faced the Mets last Tuesday in Miami, limiting them to two runs on three hits while walking none and striking out four in 5.0 innings.

He was lined up to face the Mets during this series, but the Marlins reworked their rotation because they didn't want Alcantara going up against New York twice in a short span.

That means the Mets will face Valente Bellozo, Connor Gillispie, and Max Meyer during this three-game set.

Bellozo bent but didn't break during his only start against New York last season, allowing two runs on seven hits while walking two and striking out four in 5.1 innings last Aug. 18 in Miami.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Juan Soto

He appears to be on the cusp of a full breakout. Expect it to happen this week.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Clay Holmes

Holmes, like Soto, seems ready to put it all together. He gets the ball on Tuesday night.

Which Marlins player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Xavier Edwards

Edwards went 4-for-6 against the Mets last Wednesday and cracked a double and drew a walk on Saturday against Atlanta.

Popular in the Community